tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3874 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 3874 · LAX → GSO

departs 2:02 PM PT · arrives 9:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to GSO?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.