tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 393 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 393 · EWR → EYW

departs 10:20 AM ET · arrives 1:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EYW?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.