tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8128 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 8128 · IAD → SEA

departs 5:53 PM ET · arrives 8:08 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.