Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 869SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 869 · SFO → HKG
departs 12:00 PM PT · arrives 7:15 PM HKT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HKG more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±1 pts−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to HKG?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.