tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 886 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 886 · EWR → LIM

departs 2:11 PM ET · arrives 10:15 PM -05
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Arrive at LIM more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LIM?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.