Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1289
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 1289 · OAK → LIH
departs 12:36 PM PT · arrives 4:00 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 31%
Fri 11/13 35%
Sat 11/14 24%
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LIH is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.