Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1309
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 1309 · HOU → OKC
departs 2:36 PM CT · arrives 4:11 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 27%
Fri 11/13 29%
Sat 11/14 23%
Sun 11/15 25%
Mon 11/16 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OKC
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.08 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.