Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1586
SCHEDULED
Today
WN 1586 · SNA → SMF
departs 2:31 PM PT · arrives 4:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to SMF?
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On time or early
91%
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15–30 min late
0%
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30 min–1 hour late
6%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.