Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1845
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 1845 · MCO → BNA
departs 3:33 PM ET · arrives 4:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 39%
Fri 11/13 35%
Sat 11/14 24%
Sun 11/15 36%
Mon 11/16 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.