Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2001
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
WN 2001 · HNL → ITO
departs 8:51 AM HT · arrives 10:02 AM HT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Tue 11/10 6%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 8%
Fri 11/13 10%
Sat 11/14 7%
Sun 11/15 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at ITO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ITO?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ITO is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Arrivals into ITO at that hour are usually not late
↓
8am departures from HNL are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ITO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.