Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2055
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 2055 · HOU → AUS
departs 2:44 PM CT · arrives 3:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 30%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 31%
Sun 11/15 29%
Mon 11/16 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 5 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.20 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.