Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2093
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 2093 · HOU → HRL
departs 2:38 PM CT · arrives 3:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 37%
Fri 11/13 38%
Sat 11/14 28%
Sun 11/15 31%
Mon 11/16 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into HRL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.20 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.