Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 2133 · HOU → MDW
departs 2:37 PM CT · arrives 5:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 34%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sun 11/15 29%
Mon 11/16 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.08 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.