Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 232 · HOU → LAX
departs 2:46 PM CT · arrives 4:29 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Wed 11/11
Sat 11/14 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.20 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.