Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2469 SCHEDULED

Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow

WN 2469 · PHX → ELP

departs 2:21 PM MT · arrives 3:43 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±4 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2469 · PHX → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?