Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2567
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 2567 · HOU → ELP
departs 2:51 PM CT · arrives 3:58 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Wed 11/11
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.24 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.