Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2929
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 2929 · MCO → CMH
departs 3:06 PM ET · arrives 5:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 36%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 33%
Sun 11/15 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,167 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.