Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 295
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 295 · AUS → MDW
departs 2:46 PM CT · arrives 5:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Wed 11/11
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.