Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2966
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 2966 · MDW → MCO
departs 3:03 PM CT · arrives 6:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 28%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sun 11/15 39%
Mon 11/16 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
3pm departures from MDW are often late
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.