Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 301 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow

WN 301 · DAL → AMA

departs 3:06 PM CT · arrives 4:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AMA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 301 · DAL → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?