Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 363
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 363 · HOU → TUL
departs 2:36 PM CT · arrives 4:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 11/11
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 5 kt
Ceiling 900 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.08 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.