Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 905
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
WN 905 · MBJ → BWI
departs 3:24 PM EST · arrives 6:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 28%
Fri 11/13 26%
Sat 11/14 25%
Sun 11/15 31%
Mon 11/16 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave MBJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
MBJ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.