Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3439SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
YX 3439 · DTW → EWR
departs 5:05 PM ET · arrives 6:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 161h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Wednesday in November, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
53%chance · ±50 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.