YX 5591 · LGA → PIT

took off 11:00 AM ET · expected to land 11:56 AM ET (scheduled 10:38 AM ET → 12:18 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5591 · LGA → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?