9E 5287 · DTW → MDT

departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 11:27 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDT?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MDT that day

↑ 10am departures from DTW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DTW that day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.08 in

MDT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5287 · DTW → MDT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDT?