Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1016 LANDED 10:46 AM ET, ~3 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 12 Today

9K 1016 · BOS → RKD

took off 9:58 AM ET · landed 10:46 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at RKD more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into RKD at that hour are usually not late

↓ RKD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling767 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.06 in

RKD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1016 · BOS → RKD

Odds over time