Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 110 LANDED 2:04 PM AST, ~10 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 12 Today

9K 110 · SJU → STX

took off 1:25 PM AT · landed 2:04 PM AST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at STX more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU

↑ Arrivals into STX at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ STX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

STX (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 110 · SJU → STX

Odds over time