Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 519 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 12 Today

9K 519 · ACK → HYA

departs 6:40 PM ET · arrives 6:55 PM ET

Your aircraft is N2611X (C402), coming in as 9K 519 from BOS: still at BOS, due off about 5:42 PM ET, 11 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at HYA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at HYA that day

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at ACK that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ HYA usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into HYA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ACK (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,633 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.14 in

HYA (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 519 · ACK → HYA

Odds over time