Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 519 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 12 Today

9K 519 · HYA → JFK

departs 9:30 AM ET · arrives 10:52 AM ET

Your aircraft is N2611X (C402), coming in as 9K 519 from ACK: still at ACK, due off about 6:40 PM ET, 867 min before departure.

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at HYA that day

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HYA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.19 in

JFK (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,267 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.80 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 519 · HYA → JFK

Odds over time