Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 525 LANDED 11:18 AM MT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 12 Today

9K 525 · BIL → GDV

took off 10:10 AM MT · landed 11:18 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at GDV more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ 10am departures from BIL are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into GDV at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GDV (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 525 · BIL → GDV

Odds over time