Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 564 LANDED 10:36 AM AST, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 12 Today

9K 564 · STX → STT

took off · landed 10:36 AM AST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at STT more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at STX

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at STT

↑ Other factors

↓ STX usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

STX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 564 · STX → STT

Odds over time