Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 626 LANDED 11:19 AM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 12 Today

9K 626 · BOS → RUT

took off 10:16 AM ET · landed 11:19 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at RUT more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at RUT that day

↓ Arrivals into RUT at that hour are usually not late

↓ RUT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling767 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.06 in

RUT (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.66667 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 626 · BOS → RUT

Odds over time