Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1598 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12

AA 1598 · DFW → GSO

departs 1:42 PM CT · arrives 5:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSO?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GSO (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1598 · DFW → GSO

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSO?