tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1654 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1654 · DFW → JFK

departs 2:16 PM CT · arrives 6:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
60% chance · ±6 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    39%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    27%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    20%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    10%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.