Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1680 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12

AA 1680 · DFW → DSM

departs 12:46 PM CT · arrives 2:46 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1680 · DFW → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?