Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1765 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

AA 1765 · XNA → DFW

departs 1:45 PM CT · arrives 3:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

XNA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1765 · XNA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?