AA 1914 · DFW → ORF

departs 2:16 PM CT · arrives 6:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ ORF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1914 · DFW → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?