AA 1949 · SFO → DFW

departs 12:41 PM PT · arrives 6:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±4 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1949 · SFO → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?