tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1976 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1976 · ORD → PVR

departs 10:37 AM CT · arrives 3:05 PM CST
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at PVR more than 15 minutes late?
27% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PVR?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.