tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2036 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2036 · ORD → PHL

departs 12:55 PM CT · arrives 4:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    25%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.