tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 215 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 215 · CUN → ORD

departs 2:16 PM EST · arrives 5:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
48% chance · ±4 pts +9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    52%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.