Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2861SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2861 · DFW → SNA
departs 12:47 PM CT · arrives 2:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.