Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2871SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2871 · PHX → GEG
departs 11:10 AM MT · arrives 1:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
21%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to GEG?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.