tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3165 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 3165 · PHX → ORD

departs 1:09 PM MT · arrives 5:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±7 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.