Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1018
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 1018 · FLL → RDU
departs 3:00 PM ET · arrives 5:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 25%
Sat 11/14 25%
Sun 11/15 23%
Mon 11/16 17%
Tue 11/17 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↑
3pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.