Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1038
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 1038 · RDU → FLL
departs 11:59 AM ET · arrives 2:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Tue 11/10 11%
Wed 11/11 10%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 16%
Sat 11/14 19%
Sun 11/15 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±6 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.