Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1055
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 1055 · RSW → DTW
departs 2:13 PM ET · arrives 5:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Wed 11/11 11%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 17%
Sat 11/14 19%
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DTW that day
↑
2pm departures from RSW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.