Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1122
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 1122 · LGA → DTW
departs 12:55 PM ET · arrives 2:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 11/10 13%
Wed 11/11 9%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 19%
Sun 11/15 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DTW that day
↑
12pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.17 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.