Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1181
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 1181 · FLL → LGA
departs 3:05 PM ET · arrives 6:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 11/11 15%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 44%
Sat 11/14 21%
Sun 11/15 32%
Mon 11/16 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±22 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.