Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1241
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 1241 · ATL → ALB
departs 3:53 PM ET · arrives 6:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 24%
Sun 11/15 28%
Mon 11/16 17%
Tue 11/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ALB that day
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ALB (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip 0.53 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.